Persinger M A, Cooke W J, Janes J T
Percept Mot Skills. 1978 Apr;46(2):423-6. doi: 10.2466/pms.1978.46.2.423.
According to the popular biorhythm model accidents are more likely to occur during the "critical days" of three sine wave-like cycles that display periodicities of 23 days, 28 days, and 33 days. Analyses of 400 mining accidents from two separate industries demonstrated that the number of employees who were involved with accidents on their individual critical days of the different cycles did not differ significantly from chance expectancy. Furthermore the number of employees involved in accidents when their cycles were in ascending phases (presumably associated with positive behaviors) did not differ significantly from the number of employees who were involved in accidents when their cycles were in the descending phases, presumably associated with negative behaviors. We have found neither empirical nor theoretical support for the biorhythm model.
根据流行的生物节律模型,事故更有可能发生在三个正弦波状周期的“关键日”,这三个周期的周期分别为23天、28天和33天。对来自两个不同行业的400起采矿事故的分析表明,在不同周期各自关键日发生事故的员工数量与预期概率没有显著差异。此外,在周期处于上升阶段(大概与积极行为相关)时发生事故的员工数量,与在周期处于下降阶段(大概与消极行为相关)时发生事故的员工数量没有显著差异。我们没有找到支持生物节律模型的实证或理论依据。