van Arendonk J A, Renkema J A
Tijdschr Diergeneeskd. 1983 Aug 15;108(15-16):608-14.
The possibilities of applying simulation in a study on the occurrence and effects of infectious animal disease are reported. For this purpose a model of transmissible gastroenteritis (TGE) was designed on a pig-multiplying farm. Using this model, the effects of certain management policies on the financial loss caused by TGE were quantified. It is concluded that computer simulation may be of great help in studying animal disease. It may result in better understanding of the manner in which a disease will exert its effects on the farm or on the population. Moreover, it offers an opportunity of predicting the effects of alternative procedures in prevention and control.
报告了将模拟应用于动物传染病发生及影响研究的可能性。为此，在一个种猪场设计了一个传染性胃肠炎（TGE）模型。利用该模型，对某些管理政策对TGE造成的经济损失的影响进行了量化。得出的结论是，计算机模拟在研究动物疾病方面可能会有很大帮助。它可能会使人们更好地理解疾病在农场或种群中发挥作用的方式。此外，它还提供了预测预防和控制替代程序效果的机会。
