Rutter L M, Ray D E, Roubicek C B
J Anim Sci. 1983 Nov;57(5):1077-83. doi: 10.2527/jas1983.5751077x.
Calving difficulty at first and second parturition, using data recorded on 476 purebred Charolais heifers from a ranch in Southeastern Arizona, were analyzed by analysis of variance, step-wise multiple regression and discriminant analysis. Dystocia score (1 = no assistance through 4 = extreme difficulty) was the dependent variable with dam and calf effects independent variables. In this herd, 31.1 and 15.0% of the heifers experienced calving difficulty at first and second parturition, respectively. Birth weight of calf was the most important factor influencing dystocia, accounting for 71 and 61% of the total variation explained by the analysis of variance model when calf effects as well as dam effects were included at first and second parturition. Mean birth weight was 39.0 kg for primiparous heifers and 44.3 kg for second-half cows. A significant increase in dystocia (at both first and second parturition) occurred among male calves with birth weights of 45.5 kg or greater. At first parturition, no significant increase in dystocia occurred among female calves until birth weight exceeded 50 kg. Birth weight was not a significant factor influencing dystocia for female calves at second parturition. Yearling weight of cow and dystocia score of cow's dam were the only significant dam variables, and only at first parturition. Pelvic height measurements did not significantly affect dystocia scores at either parturition. A reasonably accurate prediction of dystocia based on the variables included in this study would be impossible, even if some means were devised to reliably predict birth weight of the calf.
利用亚利桑那州东南部一个牧场476头纯种夏洛来母牛记录的数据,通过方差分析、逐步多元回归和判别分析,对首次和第二次分娩时的产犊困难情况进行了分析。难产评分(1 = 无需助产至4 = 极度困难)作为因变量,母牛和犊牛的影响因素作为自变量。在这个牛群中,分别有31.1%和15.0%的母牛在首次和第二次分娩时经历了产犊困难。犊牛出生体重是影响难产的最重要因素,当在首次和第二次分娩时纳入犊牛效应以及母牛效应时,方差分析模型解释的总变异中,犊牛出生体重分别占71%和61%。初产母牛的平均出生体重为39.0千克,经产母牛为44.3千克。出生体重45.5千克及以上的雄性犊牛在首次和第二次分娩时难产情况显著增加。在首次分娩时,雌性犊牛出生体重超过50千克之前,难产情况没有显著增加。出生体重不是影响经产母牛第二次分娩时难产的显著因素。母牛的周岁体重和母牛母亲的难产评分是仅有的显著母牛变量,且仅在首次分娩时显著。骨盆高度测量在两次分娩时均未显著影响难产评分。即使设计出一些方法来可靠地预测犊牛出生体重,基于本研究中所包含的变量对难产进行合理准确的预测也是不可能的。