[Early exercise test after myocardial infarct: prognostic stratification].

Exercise testing in myocardial infarction before discharge has been used for treatment and exercise prescription in the post-hospital phase. Aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance, within one year after the infarction, of submaximal exercise testing before discharge. 428 patients performed the test 14.5 days after the acute episode and were followed for 12 months. The following variables were examined: heart rate, blood pressure, rate-pressure product at maximum exercise, total work and reasons for stopping the test (fatigue, submaximal HR, BP greater than or equal to 200/110, hypotension, ischemic or arrhythmic response). Two events were considered: 1) non fatal reinfarction; 2) cardiac death. Two methods of multivariate analysis (Cox's model regression analysis and discriminant analysis) were used. None of the considered variables was found to be predictive of non fatal reinfarction. According to Cox's model total performed work and hypertensive response were found to be predictive of cardiac death, while using discriminant analysis only total work had a predictive value (discriminant function: L = 0.00094 X total work performed + 1.48643; p less than 0.01). In detail, the higher the total work, the better the probabilities of survival, while in patients who stopped the test because of hypertension, the probabilities of cardiac death were lower. Exercise testing performed in uncomplicated myocardial infarction before hospital discharge provides, the basis for a more rational management of patients in the post-infarction phase, and contributes to identify a subset of high-risk patients.