Simpson S P
Am J Epidemiol. 1984 Jun;119(6):1024-9. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113807.
Infant mortality among the 34,330 births registered in Hawaii during 1978-1979 was analyzed by means of several methods. Path analysis showed the Apgar score to be the best predictor of mortality, although the effects of birth weight, gestation time and preconceptional and postconceptional factors were all highly significant. Commingling analysis attributed 41% of the deaths to high risk factors recognized from the birth certificate. The infant mortality was lowest in tracts with the highest socioeconomic and health standards, but individual variation in socioeconomic standards was a poor predictor of mortality.
采用多种方法对1978 - 1979年在夏威夷登记的34330例出生婴儿的死亡率进行了分析。路径分析表明,阿氏评分是死亡率的最佳预测指标,尽管出生体重、妊娠期以及孕前和孕后因素的影响也都非常显著。混合分析将41%的死亡归因于出生证明上所确认的高危因素。在社会经济和健康标准最高的地区,婴儿死亡率最低,但社会经济标准的个体差异对死亡率的预测能力较差。