Hovelius L, Lind B, Thorling J
Clin Orthop Relat Res. 1983 Jun(176):181-5.
Two hundred fifty-five patients with 257 primary dislocations of the shoulder were followed up for two years +/- 15 days in a multicenter study in Sweden. In patients 22 years of age or younger, there was a 47% recurrence rate. The corresponding figures for patients 23-29 and 30-40 years of age were 28% and 13%, respectively. The greatest risk for recurrence was in patients 17-19 years of age, 53% of whom had at least one recurrence. Such factors as sex, type of trauma, or physical activities did not enter into the prognosis. Spontaneously appearing dislocations were found most often in patients 22 years of age or younger--14% as compared with 1% in patients 30-40 years of age. The incidence of bilateral dislocations was greatest in patients 23-29 years of age.
在瑞典的一项多中心研究中，对255例患有257处原发性肩关节脱位的患者进行了为期两年（±15天）的随访。在22岁及以下的患者中，复发率为47%。23 - 29岁和30 - 40岁患者的相应数字分别为28%和13%。复发风险最高的是17 - 19岁的患者，其中53%至少有一次复发。性别、创伤类型或体育活动等因素对预后没有影响。自发出现的脱位在22岁及以下的患者中最为常见——占14%，而30 - 40岁患者中这一比例为1%。双侧脱位的发生率在23 - 29岁的患者中最高。
