Greaves W L, Orenstein W A, Hinman A R, Nersesian W S
Pediatr Infect Dis. 1983 Jul-Aug;2(4):284-6. doi: 10.1097/00006454-198307000-00005.
In the period October 10, 1980, to January 19, 1981, 83 cases of rash illness compatible with rubella were reported in Sanford, ME. Twenty-two (27%) were confirmed serologically. Forty cases (48%) occurred in Sanford High School students; the overall attack rate was 3.2%. A case-control study was undertaken to determine the effectiveness of rubella vaccine in preventing clinical rubella. Bayes' theorem was used to calculate the attack rates in the vaccinated population (ARV) and the unvaccinated population (ARU). Vaccine efficacy (VE), calculated with use of the formula VE (%) = [(ARU - ARV)/ARU] x 100, was 90%. These results indicate that rubella vaccine is highly effective in preventing clinical rubella and do not support proposals for routine revaccination.
在1980年10月10日至1981年1月19日期间,缅因州桑福德报告了83例符合风疹症状的皮疹病例。其中22例(27%)经血清学确诊。40例(48%)发生在桑福德高中学生中;总体发病率为3.2%。开展了一项病例对照研究,以确定风疹疫苗预防临床风疹的有效性。采用贝叶斯定理计算接种人群(ARV)和未接种人群(ARU)的发病率。使用公式VE(%)= [(ARU - ARV)/ARU]×100计算得出疫苗效力(VE)为90%。这些结果表明,风疹疫苗在预防临床风疹方面非常有效,不支持进行常规再接种的提议。