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诊断和预后概念的历史发展及其与概率推理的关系。

The historical development of the concepts of diagnosis and prognosis and their relationship to probabilistic inference.

作者信息

Llewelyn D E, Anderson J

出版信息

Med Inform (Lond). 1980 Oct-Dec;5(4):267-80. doi: 10.3109/14639238009001409.

DOI:10.3109/14639238009001409
PMID:7015033
Abstract

The concepts of diagnosis and prognosis are central to the intellectual basis of modern medical practice. These concepts are rooted in philosophical ideas which were introduced by the ancient Greeks. They were also influenced by the growth of scientific understanding following the Renaissance; and the more recent discipline or probability theory. The relative importance of these histological developments are discussed and suggestions are made about the possible nature of future developments.

摘要

诊断和预后的概念是现代医学实践知识基础的核心。这些概念源于古希腊人引入的哲学思想。它们还受到文艺复兴后科学认识发展以及最近的概率论学科的影响。本文讨论了这些组织学发展的相对重要性,并对未来发展的可能性质提出了建议。

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