Limitations of the exercise stress test in the detection of coronary artery disease in apparently healthy men.

During a 1-year period, the United States Air Force School of Aerospace Medicine reviewed routine exercise tests by 771 completely asymptomatic male flying personnel aged 35-54 years, who underwent the stress test as the sole screening procedure to detect latent coronary artery disease. All of the aviators had a normal baseline 12-lead electrocardiogram, which would not have required a stress test in accordance with current policies of the USAF Central Electrocardiographic Library. Of these 771 exercise tests, 153 were maximal treadmill tests without a previous Double Master's Step test, and 618 were Double Master's tests. Borderline abnormal or abnormal Double Master's tests were followed by treadmill testing. Airmen with abnormal treadmill tests were offered coronary angiography for clarification of the aeromedical significance of the test result. The predictive value of a routine abnormal treadmill test in a population of aircrew members with a borderline abnormal or abnormal Double Master's test ranged from 17-55%. Thus, mass screening for coronary artery disease with exercise stress tests in apparently asymptomatic individuals is hampered by a low yield of true positive test in an unacceptably high proportion of false positive results.