Pell S
Environ Health Perspect. 1978 Oct;26:269-73. doi: 10.1289/ehp.7826269.
Epidemiological studies rarely provide unequivocal data on the effects of toxic substances on human health. Unlike experimental studies, pertinent variables frequently cannot be controlled and some are often unknown. Nevertheless, these limitations can be dealt with by various facets of an epidemiological investigation. These include, the choice of a study design, selection of controls or comparison populations, evaluation of available data, statistical analysis, and the drawing of appropriate inferences from the data. Among the special problems that might be encountered in studies of the effects of cardiotoxic substances are, difficulties in establishing diagnoses, errors in death certificates, observer errors in electrocardiographic interpretations, and taking into account the effects of various risk factors known to be implicated in the etiology of cardiovascular diseases. In spite of various methodological problems and certain inherent limitations of epidemiological studies, they can, when properly conducted, make significant contributions to knowledge of disease etiology and provide the means of reducing the risk of a disease, even when its etiology is not completely known.
流行病学研究很少能提供关于有毒物质对人类健康影响的确切数据。与实验研究不同,相关变量常常无法得到控制,而且有些变量往往是未知的。然而,这些局限性可以通过流行病学调查的各个方面来解决。这些方面包括研究设计的选择、对照或比较人群的选择、现有数据的评估、统计分析以及从数据中得出适当的推论。在心脏毒性物质影响的研究中可能遇到的特殊问题包括:诊断确立困难、死亡证明错误、心电图解读中的观察者误差,以及考虑到已知与心血管疾病病因相关的各种风险因素的影响。尽管存在各种方法学问题以及流行病学研究固有的某些局限性,但如果进行得当,它们能够对疾病病因的认识做出重大贡献,并提供降低疾病风险的方法,即使在病因尚未完全明确的情况下也是如此。