Keirse M J, Trimbos J B
Br J Obstet Gynaecol. 1980 Apr;87(4):261-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1471-0528.1980.tb04537.x.
A ten-point scoring system was used to assess 2770 antepartum cardiotocograms (CTGs) obtained in 405 pregnancies at risk. There were 284 pregnancies with a last CTG within 24 hours before labour, Caesarean section or intrauterine death; these were analysed separately and their outcome correlated well with the last CTG score, better than with individual CTG criteria. The relationship between CTG score and fetal condition at birth was particularly close for pregnancies with growth retardation, rhesus isoimmunisation or hypertension. A score of 8 to 10 reliably predicted good condition at birth in 95 per cent of pregnancies which ended within 24 hours and in 88 per cent of those which ended after three or four days. A score of 5 points or less invariably indicated poor fetal condition with little chances of a normal outcome unless the cause could be effectively treated. The score provides a highly specific but moderately sensitive test for fetal well-being with virtually no false positive and only few false negative results. However, almost 15 per cent of CTGs, scoring 6 or 7 points, provide too little information on fetal well-being to be of clinical value.
采用十分制评分系统对405例高危妊娠获得的2770份产前胎心监护图(CTG)进行评估。有284例妊娠在分娩、剖宫产或宫内死亡前24小时内有最后一份CTG;对这些病例进行单独分析,其结局与最后一次CTG评分的相关性良好,优于与个体CTG标准的相关性。对于胎儿生长受限、恒河猴血型不合或高血压的妊娠,CTG评分与出生时胎儿状况之间的关系尤为密切。8至10分能可靠地预测95%在24小时内结束妊娠的胎儿出生时状况良好,以及88%在三四天后结束妊娠的胎儿出生时状况良好。5分及以下的评分始终表明胎儿状况不佳,除非病因能得到有效治疗,否则正常结局的可能性很小。该评分对胎儿健康状况提供了一种高度特异但中等敏感的检测方法,几乎没有假阳性结果,假阴性结果也很少。然而,近15%评分为6或7分的CTG对胎儿健康状况提供的信息太少,没有临床价值。