Lambinet D, Boisvieux J F, Mallet A, Artois M, Andral L
Rev Epidemiol Sante Publique. 1978;26(1):9-28.
A mathematical model of propagation of a vulpine rabies epizootic has been worked out in order to build a prediction tool and to fix a suitable prophylaxis. The main ecological hypotheses and their mathematical expression are presented. This consists of a system of two integro-differential equations which have been discretizited to approximate their solution numerically. The results of the simulation of this model are consistent with the data observed in the field.
为了建立一个预测工具并确定合适的预防措施,已经建立了一个狐狸狂犬病流行传播的数学模型。文中介绍了主要的生态学假设及其数学表达式。该模型由一个包含两个积分 - 微分方程的系统组成,该系统已被离散化以便对其解进行数值近似。该模型的模拟结果与实地观察数据一致。