Bartels I, Sancken U
Institut für Humangenetik, Universität Göttingen.
Z Geburtshilfe Perinatol. 1994 Aug;198(4):153-4; discussion 155-6.
5 years ago, maternal serum markers have been established for individual risk estimation of fetal Down syndrome. Recently Benz et al. presented an arbitrary age-independent risk index. Compared to the commonly applied statistical approach a 20% increase in detection rate was obtained by using the index (85% versus 65%). We recalculated data from 19,333 prospectively investigated pregnancies without trisomy 21 and 57 pregnancies with fetal Down syndrome using the proposed risk index. At the corresponding false-positive rate (7.9%) the age-independent detection rate was only 56%. This result indicates that the sensitivity cannot be increased by the Ulm index, when compared to statistical methods of risk estimation.
5年前,已确立了用于胎儿唐氏综合征个体风险评估的母体血清标志物。最近,本茨等人提出了一个与年龄无关的任意风险指数。与常用的统计方法相比,使用该指数可使检出率提高20%(85%对65%)。我们使用所提出的风险指数对19333例未患21三体综合征的前瞻性研究妊娠数据以及57例胎儿患唐氏综合征的妊娠数据进行了重新计算。在相应的假阳性率(7.9%)下,与年龄无关的检出率仅为56%。这一结果表明,与风险评估的统计方法相比,乌尔姆指数无法提高敏感性。