Löwel H, Lewis M, Keil U, Hörmann A, Bolte H D, Willich S, Gostomzyk J
GSF-Institut für Epidemiologie, Neuherberg.
Z Kardiol. 1995 Aug;84(8):596-605.
Between 1985 and 1992 a significant decrease in rates of acute myocardial infarction (AMI; fatal and non fatal, including prehospital cardiac death) from 533 cases per 100,000 population of 455 cases was observed in the 25- to 74-year-old male study population (linear regression model: -13%, p < 0.01). In the corresponding female study population the AMI rate increased from 153 cases per 100,000 population in 1985 to 153 cases in 1992 (linear regression model: +18%, p < 0.05). The decrease was only in 50- to 59-year-old male AMI patients without changes in risk factors (smoking, diabetes, hypertension, recurrent AMI) but with a decrease in patients with a history of angina pectoris, which may have been caused by intensified medical treatment of AMI endangered patients. Over time 34% of the patients died before hospitalization and another 19% died within the first 24 h after hospitalization. The register results show an underestimation of the coronary mortality by the official cause of death statistics. In contrast, the significant increase in treatment with thrombolytics (men from 16% to 38%, women from 8% to 42%), beta-blockers (men from 48% to 69%, women from 45% to 71%), and antiplatelets (men from 55% to 94%, women from 52% to 91%) was not related to any significant changes in 28-day case fatality of the 24-h survivors (men and women 13% to 14%). Without media campaigns, for the increased number of cases hospitalized within 4 h after the event (1985-1987 men 50%, women 42%; 1990-1992 58% and 60%; p < 0.01) thrombolytic treatment shows an increase from 25% in men and 17% in women (1985-1987) to 54% in men and 47% in women (1990-1992; p < 0.01).
1985年至1992年间,在25至74岁男性研究人群中,急性心肌梗死(AMI;致命和非致命性,包括院前心源性死亡)发生率从每10万人533例显著降至455例(线性回归模型:-13%,p<0.01)。在相应的女性研究人群中,AMI发生率从1985年的每10万人153例增至1992年的153例(线性回归模型:+18%,p<0.05)。下降仅见于50至59岁男性AMI患者,其危险因素(吸烟、糖尿病、高血压、复发性AMI)无变化,但有胸痛病史的患者有所减少,这可能是由于对濒危AMI患者强化治疗所致。随着时间推移,34%的患者在住院前死亡,另有19%在住院后24小时内死亡。登记结果显示官方死因统计低估了冠心病死亡率。相比之下,溶栓治疗(男性从16%增至38%,女性从8%增至42%)、β受体阻滞剂(男性从48%增至69%,女性从45%增至71%)和抗血小板药物治疗(男性从55%增至94%,女性从52%增至91%)显著增加,但与24小时幸存者28天病死率的任何显著变化无关(男性和女性均为13%至14%)。在没有媒体宣传活动的情况下,事件发生后4小时内住院病例数增加(1985 - 1987年男性为50%,女性为42%;1990 - 1992年为58%和60%;p<0.01),溶栓治疗从男性的25%和女性的17%(1985 - 1987年)增至男性的54%和女性的47%(1990 - 1992年;p<0.01)。