Mori T
Research Institute of Tuberculosis, Japan Anti-Tuberculosis Association.
Nihon Kyobu Shikkan Gakkai Zasshi. 1994 Dec;32 Suppl:216-22.
The widespread HIV infection in some developed and developing countries is posing serious problems for the control of TB. An edpidemetric model was built to simulate the dual epidemics of HIV infection and TB in the developing world's population. It was shown that HIV infection may greatly increase the prevalence of TB and the risk of TB infection. The impact of epidemics of HIV infection and the effectiveness of TB control measures were quantified with the cumulative prevalence of TB and the extent of its reduction. The relevance of epidemetric models in the planning of policies for the control of TB is discussed.
在一些发达国家和发展中国家，艾滋病病毒的广泛传播给结核病的控制带来了严重问题。构建了一个流行病学模型，以模拟发展中世界人群中艾滋病病毒感染和结核病的双重流行情况。结果表明，艾滋病病毒感染可能会大幅增加结核病的患病率以及感染结核病的风险。通过结核病的累积患病率及其降低程度，对艾滋病病毒感染流行的影响和结核病控制措施的效果进行了量化。文中还讨论了流行病学模型在结核病控制政策规划中的相关性。
