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比较两个孤立的致倦库蚊(双翅目:蚊科)种群生物学特性的动态模型:敏感性分析

Dynamic model comparing the bionomics of two isolated Culex tarsalis (Diptera: Culicidae) populations: sensitivity analysis.

作者信息

Eisenberg J N, Reisen W K, Spear R C

机构信息

School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley 94720, USA.

出版信息

J Med Entomol. 1995 Mar;32(2):98-106. doi: 10.1093/jmedent/32.2.98.

DOI:10.1093/jmedent/32.2.98
PMID:7608932
Abstract

A simulation model described (Eisenberg et al. 1994a) was used to compare the population dynamics of Culex tarsalis Coquillett in the Coachella and southern portion of the San Joaquin Valleys of California. Model outputs were classified as a pass if they met criteria that defined typical seasonal abundance patterns established by CO2 and New Jersey light trap data. The sensitivity of this classification to the model parameters was assessed by running multiple simulations for each valley site. Parameter sets associated with a pass were first analyzed separately for each valley and then compared. The two study sites were distinguished by the distributional characteristics of two parameters associated with temperature dependency. One of these parameters described the temperature dependence of larval mortality and the other the temperature dependence of adult egg development. We hypothesize that these isolated Cx. tarsalis populations evolved separately to maximize survival in their respective temperature regimes by adapting to different optimal larval survival temperatures and egg-development rates.

摘要

采用Eisenberg等人(1994a)描述的一个模拟模型,比较加利福尼亚州科切拉谷和圣华金谷南部的致倦库蚊种群动态。如果模型输出符合由二氧化碳和新泽西诱蚊灯数据确定的典型季节性丰度模式标准,则分类为通过。通过对每个谷地站点运行多次模拟,评估这种分类对模型参数的敏感性。首先分别分析与通过相关的参数集,然后进行比较。两个研究地点通过与温度依赖性相关的两个参数的分布特征来区分。其中一个参数描述幼虫死亡率的温度依赖性,另一个参数描述成虫卵发育的温度依赖性。我们假设这些隔离的致倦库蚊种群通过适应不同的最佳幼虫生存温度和卵发育率,在各自的温度条件下分别进化以实现生存最大化。

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