Gilland B
Endeavour. 1993 Jun;17(2):84-8. doi: 10.1016/0160-9327(93)90201-d.
In the lecture following the award of his Nobel Prize for Peace in 1970 the eminent agronomist Norman Borlaug remarked: 'If you desire peace, cultivate justice but at the same time cultivate the fields to produce more bread'. This is as true now as it was then. This article analyses trends in the relationship between cereal production and nitrogen fertilizer consumption up to the year 2030. It concludes that a doubling of chemical nitrogen consumption over this period is necessary to maintain world cereal production per capita at its present level.
1970年，杰出的农学家诺曼·博洛格在获得诺贝尔和平奖后的演讲中说：“如果你渴望和平，那就培育正义，但同时也要耕耘土地以生产更多面包。” 现在这话依然千真万确。本文分析了到2030年谷物产量与氮肥消费量之间关系的趋势。结论是，在此期间将化学氮肥消费量翻倍，对于将世界人均谷物产量维持在目前水平是必要的。
