Astrup C
Neuropsychobiology. 1975;1(1):32-40. doi: 10.1159/000117473.
The relation between initial clinical symptomatology and long-term course of illness appears to be reliable. Prognostic models, as well as an experienced physician, can predict long-term risk of schizophrenic defects from a few items. The prognostic models also seem to be valid for international comparisons of prognosis. The improved prognosis of schizophrenia over the last 30 years is ascertained. The series of about 4,500 cases provides a sufficiently large number of patients for the analyses of well-defined subgroups. This has been done especially for schizophrenia, using the Leonhard classification.
初始临床症状与疾病的长期病程之间的关系似乎是可靠的。预后模型以及经验丰富的医生可以从一些指标预测精神分裂症缺陷的长期风险。预后模型在国际预后比较中似乎也有效。已确定精神分裂症在过去30年中预后有所改善。这一系列约4500例病例为明确界定的亚组分析提供了足够多的患者。特别是对于精神分裂症，已使用莱昂哈德分类法进行了此项分析。
