Ferguson C, Lee M L, Wallace R
Med Care. 1976 Jul;14(7):547-89.
This paper presents results of a study to determine 1) the effects of Medicare on the patients of hospital use in specific disease groups, and 2) the sensitivity of length of stay and proportions of admission in specific disease groups to "short-run" changes in hospital occupancy rates. The analysis indicates that Medicare did increase utilization of hospital services by patients 65 and over through increases in both admissions and average length of stay. The largest increases occurred in the lower risk disease categories, although it is pointed out that this result does not necessarily imply a misallocation of hospital resources. The results also indicate significant differences among different socioeconomic groups and a much greater initial impact on the 75 and over age group than on the 65-74 age group.
本文展示了一项研究的结果,该研究旨在确定:1)医疗保险对特定疾病组患者住院使用情况的影响;2)特定疾病组的住院时长和住院比例对医院床位占用率“短期”变化的敏感度。分析表明,医疗保险确实通过增加住院次数和平均住院时长,提高了65岁及以上患者对医院服务的利用率。尽管有人指出,这一结果并不一定意味着医院资源分配不当,但在风险较低的疾病类别中增长幅度最大。结果还表明,不同社会经济群体之间存在显著差异,且对75岁及以上年龄组的初始影响比对65 - 74岁年龄组的影响大得多。