Milberg J A, Davis D R, Steinberg K P, Hudson L D
Department of Medicine, Harborview Medical Center/University of Washington, Seattle 98104.
JAMA. 1995 Jan 25;273(4):306-9.
To analyze temporal trends in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) fatality rates since 1983 at one institution.
Cohort.
Intensive care units of a large county hospital.
Consecutive adult patients (> or = 18 years of age) meeting ARDS criteria were identified through daily surveillance of intensive care units (N = 918 from 1983 through 1993). The major causes were sepsis syndrome in 37% and major trauma in 25%; 37% had other risks. Sixty-five percent were male. The median age was 45 years (range, 18 to 92 years); 70% were younger than 60 years.
Hospital mortality.
Overall fatality rates showed no trend from 1983 to 1987, declined slightly in 1988 and 1989, and decreased to a low of 36% in 1993 (95% confidence interval, 25% to 46%). The crude rates were largely unchanged after adjustment for age, ARDS risk, and gender distribution. While patients both younger than 60 years and 60 years or older experienced declines in fatality rate, the larger decrease occurred in the younger cohort. In sepsis patients, ARDS fatality rates declined steadily, from 67% in 1990 to 40% in 1993 (95% confidence interval, 23% to 57%). The decline in sepsis-related ARDS fatality was confined largely to patients less than 60 years of age. Trauma patients and all other patients also experienced declines in fatality rates after 1987, although these trends were not as strong and consistent as in the sepsis population.
In this large series, we observed a significant decrease in fatality rates occurring largely in patients younger than 60 years and in those with sepsis syndrome as their risk for ARDS. We are unable to determine the extent to which experimental therapies or other changes in treatment have contributed to the observed decline in the ARDS fatality rate. Institution-specific rates and temporal trends in ARDS fatality rates should be considered in clinical trials designed to prevent ARDS and the high mortality associated with this syndrome.
分析自1983年以来某机构急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)死亡率的时间趋势。
队列研究。
一家大型县医院的重症监护病房。
通过对重症监护病房的每日监测确定符合ARDS标准的连续成年患者(≥18岁)(1983年至1993年共918例)。主要病因是脓毒症综合征(37%)和严重创伤(25%);37%有其他风险因素。65%为男性。中位年龄为45岁(范围18至92岁);70%年龄小于60岁。
医院死亡率。
1983年至1987年总体死亡率无趋势变化,1988年和1989年略有下降,1993年降至36%的低点(95%置信区间,25%至46%)。经年龄、ARDS风险和性别分布调整后,粗死亡率基本未变。虽然年龄小于60岁和60岁及以上的患者死亡率均有所下降,但年轻队列下降幅度更大。在脓毒症患者中,ARDS死亡率稳步下降,从1990年的67%降至1993年的40%(95%置信区间,23%至57%)。脓毒症相关ARDS死亡率的下降主要局限于年龄小于60岁的患者。创伤患者和所有其他患者在1987年后死亡率也有所下降,尽管这些趋势不如脓毒症患者群体那样强烈和一致。
在这个大样本系列中,我们观察到死亡率显著下降,主要发生在年龄小于60岁以及以脓毒症综合征为ARDS风险因素的患者中。我们无法确定实验性治疗或其他治疗变化在多大程度上导致了观察到的ARDS死亡率下降。在旨在预防ARDS及其相关高死亡率的临床试验中,应考虑特定机构的ARDS死亡率及时间趋势。