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每人每年发生的事件——一个可疑的概念。

Events per person year--a dubious concept.

作者信息

Windeler J, Lange S

机构信息

Institut für Medizinische Biometrie, Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg, Germany.

出版信息

BMJ. 1995 Feb 18;310(6977):454-6. doi: 10.1136/bmj.310.6977.454.

Abstract

In 1982 a new measure was introduced in research into osteoporosis and is now used everywhere in the literature. The so called "fracture rate" relates the number of fractures (single in some patients, multiple in others) to the cumulative time of observation of all patients. This concept, however, has no sound basis. Counting events instead of patients usually violates basic statistical assumptions and invalidates the use of common statistical tests and estimators. Its clinical interpretation is rather dubious. The use of such a measure impedes the search for valid and clinically meaningful outcome criteria and should be abandoned.

摘要

1982年,骨质疏松症研究引入了一项新指标,如今该指标在文献中随处可见。所谓的“骨折率”是指骨折数量(有些患者为单发骨折,有些患者为多发骨折)与所有患者累计观察时间的比值。然而,这一概念并无可靠依据。统计事件而非患者通常会违反基本的统计假设,使常用统计检验和估计量的使用无效。其临床意义相当可疑。使用这样的指标会妨碍寻找有效且具有临床意义的结局标准,因此应该摒弃。

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