Sparén P, Gustafsson L, Friberg L G, Pontén J, Bergström R, Adami H O
Department of Cancer Epidemiology, University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
J Clin Oncol. 1995 Mar;13(3):715-25. doi: 10.1200/JCO.1995.13.3.715.
Cancer of the cervix uteri can be controlled by cytologic screening for the detection of precursor lesions, but such intervention remains unrealistic in many countries in which this cancer is common. The possibility of reducing mortality by earlier clinical detection, followed by basic therapy, has never been properly assessed.
We compiled records of incident cases of invasive cancer of the cervix diagnosed in a defined area of Sweden from 1930 through 1990. In a cohort of 6,044 women, we analyzed temporal trends in incidence and survival by clinical stage and age at diagnosis. Generalized proportional hazards models were used to study several factors simultaneously and quantify the overall reduction in mortality.
For each successive stage at diagnosis, the overall risk of dying increased 2.5-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.4 to 2.7). From 1930, a marked improvement in stage distribution was accompanied by increasing survival rates in stages I and II disease. These changes largely took place before the introduction of screening and external-beam radiation. The 10-year relative survival rate increased from 33% in the 1930s to approximately 55% in the 1950s and thereafter.
Improvements in public and professional awareness of cervical cancer resulted in diagnoses at earlier clinical stages. The rate of cure in early stages improved when basic local treatment was introduced, but only little of the progress was attributable to the introduction of more advanced treatment technologies. These findings offer considerable hope for a substantial reduction in the mortality of cervical cancer without cytologic screening, even in countries with limited resources.
子宫颈癌可通过细胞学筛查来检测前驱病变从而得到控制,但在许多子宫颈癌高发的国家,这种干预措施仍不现实。早期临床诊断并随后进行基础治疗能否降低死亡率,这一可能性从未得到过恰当评估。
我们汇编了1930年至1990年在瑞典某特定地区诊断出的浸润性子宫颈癌发病病例记录。在一组6044名女性中,我们按临床分期和诊断时的年龄分析了发病率和生存率的时间趋势。使用广义比例风险模型同时研究多个因素,并量化死亡率的总体降低情况。
在诊断的每个连续阶段,总体死亡风险增加2.5倍(95%置信区间[CI],2.4至2.7)。从1930年起,分期分布有显著改善,同时I期和II期疾病的生存率不断提高。这些变化大多发生在筛查和体外放射治疗引入之前。10年相对生存率从20世纪30年代的33%提高到20世纪50年代及之后的约55%。
公众和专业人员对子宫颈癌认识的提高导致临床诊断提前。引入基础局部治疗后,早期治愈率有所提高,但只有一小部分进展归因于更先进治疗技术的引入。这些发现为即使在资源有限的国家,在不进行细胞学筛查的情况下大幅降低子宫颈癌死亡率带来了很大希望。