悉尼注射吸毒者的标记重捕法估计数。

Mark-recapture estimates of injecting drug users in Sydney.

作者信息

Duque-Portugal F, Martin A J, Taylor R, Ross M W

机构信息

Department of Public Health, University of Sydney.

出版信息

Aust J Public Health. 1994 Jun;18(2):201-4. doi: 10.1111/j.1753-6405.1994.tb00226.x.

DOI:10.1111/j.1753-6405.1994.tb00226.x

PMID:7948339

Abstract

The number of injecting drug users in the Central and Eastern Sydney Area Health Services (CSAHS and ESAHS) in 1989-1990 was estimated by applying the Petersen mark-recapture method to data obtained from the Australian National AIDS and Injecting Drug Use Surveys conducted in 1989 and in 1990. The population estimates for injecting drug users were 8368 (95 per cent confidence interval (CI) 6099 to 11,829) for ESAHS and 1466 (CI 742 to 2841) for CSHS. An estimate was also obtained for the number of injecting opioid users residing within the ESAHS; our figure of 3597 (CI 2731 to 5737) was consistent with previously reported estimates obtained using mark-recapture but based on different data sets.

摘要

1989 - 1990年，悉尼中部和东部地区卫生服务机构（CSAHS和ESAHS）中注射吸毒者的人数，是通过将彼得森标记重捕法应用于从1989年和1990年进行的澳大利亚全国艾滋病与注射吸毒调查中获得的数据来估算的。ESAHS注射吸毒者的人口估计数为8368人（95%置信区间（CI）为6099至11829），CSHS为1466人（CI为742至2841）。还估算了居住在ESAHS内注射阿片类药物使用者的人数；我们得出的3597人（CI为2731至5737）这一数字，与之前使用标记重捕法但基于不同数据集得出的报告估计数一致。