de Wet M, Falkson G, Rapoport B L
Department of Medical Oncology, University of Pretoria, Republic of South Africa.
Oncology. 1994 Nov-Dec;51(6):523-34. doi: 10.1159/000227398.
The aims of this study were to identify prognostic factors in patients (pts) with small cell lung cancer and to identify dominant prognostic factors independent of disease stage, to define prognostic subsets through recursive partitioning and amalgamation (RPA) and to analyze the clinical characteristics of long-term survivors. The prognostic significance of 27 pre-treatment variables was evaluated in 144 pts seen at a single institution. The current study confirmed the superior outcome for pts with limited disease (LD) in terms of response, response duration, time to treatment failure and survival when compared to those with extensive disease (ED). None of the variables independently predicted for response in patients with LD. Response correlated significantly with a good performance status (PS) for pts with ED and for the whole group. A good PS was the most significant predictor for prolonged survival in pts with LD. In ED a longer survival was associated with a normal pre-treatment albumin value, absence of weight loss and female gender. When the whole group was considered, PS and number of metastatic sites were identified as the most influential factors for survival independent of disease stage. RPA analysis defined 3 prognostic subsets based on stage of disease, PS and number of metastatic sites. The best survival rates were seen in pts with LD with a good PS and pts with ED, only one metastatic site and a good PS. 11% of pts survived > 2 years (18% LD, 6% ED). A complete response to chemotherapy was the most important predictor for long-term survival. Comparison of the data from this study with published results of protocol studies showed similar outcomes.
本研究的目的是确定小细胞肺癌患者的预后因素,确定独立于疾病分期的主要预后因素,通过递归划分与合并(RPA)定义预后亚组,并分析长期生存者的临床特征。在一家机构就诊的144例患者中评估了27个治疗前变量的预后意义。本研究证实,与广泛期疾病(ED)患者相比,局限期疾病(LD)患者在缓解率、缓解持续时间、治疗失败时间和生存率方面预后更佳。在LD患者中,没有一个变量能独立预测缓解情况。对于ED患者和整个研究组,缓解与良好的体能状态(PS)显著相关。良好的PS是LD患者延长生存期的最显著预测因素。在ED患者中,生存期较长与治疗前白蛋白值正常、无体重减轻和女性性别有关。当考虑整个研究组时,PS和转移部位数量被确定为独立于疾病分期的最有影响的生存因素。RPA分析根据疾病分期、PS和转移部位数量定义了3个预后亚组。LD且PS良好的患者以及ED、仅有一个转移部位且PS良好的患者生存率最高。11%的患者存活超过2年(LD患者为18%,ED患者为6%)。化疗完全缓解是长期生存的最重要预测因素。将本研究数据与已发表的方案研究结果进行比较,结果相似。