Mbago M C
Department of Statistics, University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.
J Biosoc Sci. 1994 Oct;26(4):451-67. doi: 10.1017/s0021932000021593.
Data from the 1988 Tanzania census were used to examine child mortality in three regions populated with Burundi refugees. Logistic and least squares analyses show that for both Tanzanian nationals and refugees low levels of maternal education are associated with high child mortality levels. Children born to mothers who are housewives are associated with low levels of mortality compared to those born to employed mothers, though the results were not statistically significant for the refugees. Maternal demographic status, computed from age and parity, has a strong effect on child survival. Unexpectedly, child mortality was lower where the water source was a well outside the village. Tanzanian mothers who are at highest risk of childbearing are roughly 6.4 times more likely to have a child death than those at lowest risk; the corresponding figure for the refugees is 36.8. This emphasises the need to intensify family planning programmes in these regions.
1988年坦桑尼亚人口普查数据被用于研究三个有布隆迪难民居住地区的儿童死亡率。逻辑回归分析和最小二乘法分析表明，对于坦桑尼亚国民和难民而言，母亲受教育程度低都与儿童高死亡率相关。家庭主妇所生孩子的死亡率低于职业母亲所生孩子，不过这一结果对难民而言并无统计学意义。根据年龄和胎次计算得出的母亲人口统计学状况对儿童生存有很大影响。出乎意料的是，水源为村外水井的地区儿童死亡率较低。坦桑尼亚生育风险最高的母亲所生孩子死亡的可能性大约是风险最低母亲所生孩子的6.4倍；难民的相应数字为36.8。这凸显了在这些地区加强计划生育项目的必要性。
