Brown M C
Department of Economics, University of Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Soc Sci Med. 1994 May;38(9):1243-56. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(94)90189-9.
The paper analyzes how Gini-style indices are optimally used in the evaluation of economic spatial models designed to predict where health care practitioners are likely to locate under competitive market conditions. At a conceptual level, the analysis establishes that Gini-style indices can be brought to bear on economic models, only if the ordering of geographic areas required to give Gini-coefficient values internal technical coherence also has meaning in terms of the conceptual predictions of the modelling. This, in turn, implies that Gini-indices are most likely to prove useful for fairly aggregated forms of economic analysis, involving relatively few and large geographic divisions. At an applied level, the analysis establishes that one particular geographic distribution of health practitioners is empirically dominant, and that is the distribution which involves the lowest practitioner:population ratio in rural areas, and the highest ratio in large urban areas, with the ratio for small urban areas in between. The empirical evidence also suggests that the spatial practitioner distributions are highly stable for most kinds of health personnel, making it problematic whether these distributions can be changed through normal types of public policy interventions.
本文分析了基尼系数类指标如何在评估经济空间模型时得到最优运用,这些模型旨在预测在竞争激烈的市场条件下医疗从业者可能的选址。在概念层面,分析表明,只有当赋予基尼系数值内部技术连贯性所需的地理区域排序在建模的概念预测方面也具有意义时,基尼系数类指标才能应用于经济模型。这反过来意味着,基尼系数最有可能被证明对相当综合的经济分析形式有用,这种分析涉及相对较少且较大的地理区域划分。在应用层面,分析表明,医疗从业者的一种特定地理分布在经验上占主导地位,即农村地区从业者与人口比例最低、大城市地区比例最高、小城市地区比例介于两者之间的分布。经验证据还表明,大多数类型的卫生人员的空间从业者分布高度稳定,这使得这些分布能否通过常规类型的公共政策干预来改变成为一个问题。