Thomas D, Pogoda J, Langholz B, Mack W
Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles 90033-9987.
Health Phys. 1994 Mar;66(3):257-62. doi: 10.1097/00004032-199403000-00004.
Data on lung cancer mortality in a cohort of 3,347 Colorado Plateau uranium miners was reanalyzed to investigate the role of time-related modifiers of the radon-smoking interaction. A nested case-control sample of the cohort was drawn, matching each of the 258 lung cancer deaths with 15 controls drawn at random from the subjects who were born in the same year and still alive at the time the case died. As reported earlier, the dose response was sublinear for both total radon and total smoking, and their joint effect was approximately multiplicative. We fitted linear multiplicative models to these data, transforming the radon and smoking variables to improve their fit, and then added variables testing various temporal modifying effects and interactions. The strongest modifiers of the main effects of each variable taken separately were latency and duration of exposure. The strongest modifier of the interaction effect was the timing of radon and smoking exposures: Exposure to radon followed by smoking produced a significantly more-than-multiplicative effect, whereas the reverse sequence produced a significantly less-than-multiplicative effect. These findings suggest that smoking may act as a promoter of radon-initiated cells.
对一组3347名科罗拉多高原铀矿矿工的肺癌死亡率数据进行了重新分析,以研究氡与吸烟相互作用中时间相关调节因素的作用。从该队列中抽取了一个巢式病例对照样本,将258例肺癌死亡病例中的每一例与15名对照进行匹配,这些对照是从同年出生且在病例死亡时仍存活的受试者中随机抽取的。如先前报道,总氡和总吸烟量的剂量反应均呈亚线性,且它们的联合效应近似相乘。我们对这些数据拟合了线性相乘模型,对氡和吸烟变量进行变换以改善拟合效果,然后添加变量来检验各种时间修饰效应和相互作用。单独考虑每个变量的主要效应时,最强的调节因素是潜伏期和暴露持续时间。相互作用效应的最强调节因素是氡和吸烟暴露的时间:先接触氡再吸烟产生的效应显著大于相乘效应,而相反顺序产生的效应显著小于相乘效应。这些发现表明,吸烟可能充当氡引发细胞的促进剂。