Gross T P, Schlesselman J J
Division of Biometric Sciences, Food and Drug Administration, Rockville, Maryland.
Obstet Gynecol. 1994 Mar;83(3):419-24.
To determine the effect of oral contraceptive (OC) use on the cumulative incidence of epithelial ovarian cancer from ages 20-40, 20-50, and 20-55 years among four groups of women: positive family history, negative family history, parous, and nulliparous.
Cancer and Steroid Hormone Study data were combined with data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Network to provide estimates of the age-specific incidence rates of epithelial ovarian cancer among never-users of OCs in the four specified groups of women. These rates provided the basis for calculating cumulative incidences. The rates in women using OCs were estimated from meta-analyses of the epidemiologic literature, using regression equations expressing the log-relative rate of epithelial ovarian cancer as a function of duration of use and recency.
In all four groups, the cumulative number of epithelial ovarian cancer cases estimated to occur per 100,000 OC users, compared to never-users, decreased with increasing duration of OC use. Our results suggest that 5 years of OC use by nulliparous women can reduce their ovarian cancer risk to the level seen in parous women who never use OCs, and that 10 years of OC use by women with a positive family history can reduce their risk to a level below that for women whose family history is negative and who never use OCs.
These data represent the first published estimates of the effect of OC use on the cumulative incidence of epithelial ovarian cancer by family history and by parity. The demonstrated substantial noncontraceptive benefit from OCs justifies their judicious use as a potentially powerful resource for primary prevention in women at high risk of ovarian cancer.
确定口服避孕药(OC)的使用对四组女性(有家族史阳性、家族史阴性、已生育和未生育)在20至40岁、20至50岁以及20至55岁时上皮性卵巢癌累积发病率的影响。
将癌症与类固醇激素研究数据与监测、流行病学和最终结果网络的数据相结合,以估计这四类特定女性中从未使用过OC者上皮性卵巢癌的年龄别发病率。这些发病率为计算累积发病率提供了基础。使用OC的女性的发病率是通过对流行病学文献的荟萃分析估计得出的,使用回归方程将上皮性卵巢癌的对数相对发病率表示为使用持续时间和近期使用情况的函数。
在所有四组中,与从未使用者相比,每100,000名使用OC的女性中估计发生的上皮性卵巢癌病例累积数随着OC使用持续时间的增加而减少。我们的结果表明,未生育女性使用OC 5年可将其卵巢癌风险降低至从未使用过OC的已生育女性的水平,有家族史阳性的女性使用OC 10年可将其风险降低至低于家族史阴性且从未使用过OC的女性的水平。
这些数据是首次发表的关于OC使用对按家族史和生育状况划分的上皮性卵巢癌累积发病率影响的估计。OC所显示出的实质性非避孕益处证明了将其明智地用作卵巢癌高危女性一级预防的潜在有力资源是合理的。