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一种用于比较肉牛基因型在其最优经济屠宰终点的生物经济模型。

A bioeconomic model for comparing beef cattle genotypes at their optimal economic slaughter end point.

作者信息

Amer P R, Kemp R A, Buchanan-Smith J G, Fox G C, Smith C

机构信息

Department of Animal and Poultry Science, University of Guelph, Ontario, Canada.

出版信息

J Anim Sci. 1994 Jan;72(1):38-50. doi: 10.2527/1994.72138x.

Abstract

A bioeconomic model of a feedlot was developed for the comparison of beef cattle genotypes under specified management and marketing conditions. The optimization behavior of commercial feedlot managers is incorporated into the model using optimum economic rotation theory. The days spent in the feedlot (rotation) by a group of animals are derived using this theory so as to maximize an objective function. Differences among breeds in the present value of profits from a single rotation, expressed per animal, represent the expected price premium paid for a feeder animal of a particular breed. Feed requirements and growth rates for a genotype are predicted over time for a specified diet from estimated mature size. Estimates of carcass fatness over time as a function of the energy content of the diet and estimates of dressing percentage over time are used for each genotype. A base model is described that incorporates biological parameters estimated for 11 breeds from a major breed comparison experiment and uses prices of inputs and outputs for Ontario feedlots. Sensitivity of the model to these biological and economic assumptions is shown. When breeds are compared at constant days fed, weight, or fat depth slaughter points, rankings are inconsistent, relative to those when each breed is slaughtered at its optimal economic point. The model can be used to establish appropriate slaughter end points for comparing beef cattle breeds and crosses and to evaluate breeding objectives for feedlot traits in genetic improvement programs.

摘要

为了在特定的管理和销售条件下比较肉牛基因型,开发了一种饲养场生物经济模型。利用最优经济周转理论将商业饲养场管理者的优化行为纳入模型。利用该理论得出一组动物在饲养场度过的天数(周转期),以使目标函数最大化。单周转期每头动物利润现值的品种差异代表了为特定品种的育肥牛支付的预期价格溢价。根据估计的成熟体型,预测特定日粮下某一基因型随时间变化的饲料需求和生长率。对每个基因型使用随时间变化的胴体脂肪度估计值(作为日粮能量含量的函数)和随时间变化的屠宰率估计值。描述了一个基础模型,该模型纳入了来自一项主要品种比较实验的11个品种的估计生物学参数,并使用了安大略省饲养场的投入和产出价格。展示了该模型对这些生物学和经济假设的敏感性。当在固定的饲养天数、体重或脂肪深度屠宰点比较品种时,相对于每个品种在其最优经济点屠宰时的排名,排名是不一致的。该模型可用于确定比较肉牛品种和杂交品种的合适屠宰终点,并评估遗传改良计划中饲养场性状的育种目标。

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