Phatak P D, Guzman G, Woll J E, Robeson A, Phelps C E
Mary M. Gooley Hemophilia Center Inc, Rochester General Hospital, NY.
Arch Intern Med. 1994 Apr 11;154(7):769-76.
Recent studies have estimated the prevalence of hereditary hemochromatosis to be 3 to 8 per 1000. Early detection and treatment can prevent disease manifestations and normalize life expectancy. We used decision analysis techniques to determine whether screening the population at large for hereditary hemochromatosis would be cost-effective.
We constructed a model to compare the cost and outcome of a strategy of performing screening transferrin saturation tests on cohorts of 30-year old men with that of awaiting symptomatic disease. Baseline estimates of disease prevalence and complication rates were based on the published literature. Costs of treatment were estimated based on prevailing local costs. Sensitivity analyses were then conducted to determine which variables had the most significant impact on the decision to screen.
At our baseline estimates, the decision to screen was found to be a dominant strategy and resulted in cost saving. Sensitivity analysis showed that four variables had the most significant impact on the decision to screen: (1) the prevalence of hereditary hemochromatosis, (2) the probability of developing disease manifestations, (3) the cost of the screening test, and (4) the discount rate. Screening was a dominant strategy for asymptomatic men provided that the prevalence of hereditary hemochromatosis was at least 3 per 1000, the probability of developing disease manifestations was greater than 0.4, the test cost was less than $12, and the discount rate was less than 3%. Using more pessimistic estimates, the cost per life year saved was still less than that considered acceptable for many common medical interventions.
Screening for hereditary hemochromatosis has a favorable cost-effectiveness ratio over a wide range of assumptions. We recommend that practitioners consider including a serum transferrin saturation test in their routine screening for asymptomatic white men.
近期研究估计遗传性血色素沉着症的患病率为每1000人中有3至8人。早期检测和治疗可预防疾病表现并使预期寿命正常化。我们使用决策分析技术来确定对普通人群进行遗传性血色素沉着症筛查是否具有成本效益。
我们构建了一个模型,比较对30岁男性队列进行筛查转铁蛋白饱和度测试的策略与等待出现症状性疾病的策略的成本和结果。疾病患病率和并发症发生率的基线估计基于已发表的文献。治疗成本根据当地现行成本进行估计。然后进行敏感性分析,以确定哪些变量对筛查决策影响最大。
根据我们的基线估计,筛查决策被发现是一种主导策略,并能节省成本。敏感性分析表明,有四个变量对筛查决策影响最大:(1)遗传性血色素沉着症的患病率,(2)出现疾病表现的概率,(3)筛查测试的成本,以及(4)贴现率。对于无症状男性,只要遗传性血色素沉着症的患病率至少为每1000人中有3人,出现疾病表现的概率大于0.4,测试成本低于12美元,且贴现率低于3%,筛查就是一种主导策略。使用更悲观的估计,每挽救一个生命年的成本仍低于许多常见医疗干预措施所认为可接受的成本。
在广泛的假设范围内,遗传性血色素沉着症筛查具有良好的成本效益比。我们建议从业者考虑在对无症状白人男性的常规筛查中纳入血清转铁蛋白饱和度测试。