Armstrong B K, Kricker A
International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Melanoma Res. 1993 Dec;3(6):395-401. doi: 10.1097/00008390-199311000-00002.
Estimates have been made of the proportion of cutaneous malignant melanomas caused by sun exposure by comparing the observed incidence of melanoma with estimates of the incidence in the absence of sun exposure. The estimated proportions varied from 0.97 in males and 0.96 in females in Queensland, Australia, when the incidence on the whole body was compared with that on unexposed sites, to 0.68 when incidence in people born in Australia was compared with that in migrants to Australia from areas of lower sun exposure. A comparison of US Whites and US Blacks, in which the incidence in Blacks was taken as the incidence in unexposed Whites, gave estimates of 0.96 in males and 0.92 in females. It was estimated that some 59,000 (65%) of about 92,000 melanomas that occurred worldwide in 1985 were caused by sun exposure. This is probably a minimum estimate. That 20% of the world's melanomas are estimated to occur in Black African and Asian populations and are of unknown cause would justify studies of the causes of melanoma in these populations.
通过将观察到的黑色素瘤发病率与无阳光照射情况下的发病率估计值进行比较,已对因阳光照射导致的皮肤恶性黑色素瘤比例做出了估计。估计比例各不相同,在澳大利亚昆士兰,当将全身发病率与未暴露部位的发病率进行比较时,男性为0.97,女性为0.96;而当将出生在澳大利亚的人的发病率与从阳光照射较少地区移民到澳大利亚的人的发病率进行比较时,该比例为0.68。对美国白人和美国黑人进行比较时,将黑人的发病率视为未暴露白人的发病率,得出男性比例为0.96,女性比例为0.92。据估计,1985年全球发生的约92,000例黑色素瘤中,约59,000例(65%)是由阳光照射引起的。这可能是最低估计值。据估计,世界上20%的黑色素瘤发生在非洲黑人和亚洲人群中,病因不明,这说明有必要对这些人群中黑色素瘤的病因进行研究。