Andersen A, Glattre E, Johansen B V
Cancer Registry of Norway, Institute of Epidemiological Cancer Research, Oslo.
Am J Epidemiol. 1993 Nov 1;138(9):682-7. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a116905.
The study population comprises 690 Norwegian male lighthouse keepers whose water supply came from cisterns that received rain water off asbestos-cement-tiled roofs. The asbestos-cement tiles were installed in the late 1950s, and two decades later the fiber content in the tap water was analyzed. The fiber content ranged from 1,760 to 71,350 million fibers per liter, which is significantly higher than measured in any other Norwegian public water supply. During the follow-up period, 1960-1991, no statistically significant excess risk was found for any type of cancer in the group with a latency period of 20 years or more, except for stomach cancer (11 observed cases vs. 4.57 expected, standardized incidence ratio = 241, 95% confidence interval 120-431). No cases of malignant mesothelioma were found. The study is limited by lack of knowledge as to when the tiles began to deteriorate and, thus, the magnitude of total exposure as well as by the inability to control for such potential confounding factors as diet.
研究对象包括690名挪威男性灯塔看守员,他们的供水来自收集石棉水泥瓦屋顶雨水的蓄水池。石棉水泥瓦于20世纪50年代末安装,二十年后对自来水中的纤维含量进行了分析。纤维含量为每升17.6亿至713.5亿根,显著高于挪威其他任何公共供水系统的测量值。在1960年至1991年的随访期间,在潜伏期为20年或更长时间的人群中,除胃癌外(观察到11例病例,预期4.57例,标准化发病率=241,95%置信区间120-431),未发现任何类型癌症有统计学显著的超额风险。未发现恶性间皮瘤病例。该研究的局限性在于,不清楚这些瓦片何时开始恶化,因此无法确定总暴露量,此外也无法控制饮食等潜在混杂因素。