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运用生存分析比较牛白血病病毒血清阳性和血清阴性奶牛的淘汰率。

Use of survival analysis to compare cull rates between bovine leukemia virus seropositive and seronegative dairy cows.

作者信息

Pollari F L, DiGiacomo R F, Evermann J F

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Community Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle 98195.

出版信息

Am J Vet Res. 1993 Sep;54(9):1400-3.

PMID:8239124
Abstract

Bovine leukemia virus (BLV) infection and culling of cows in a commercial dairy herd were evaluated to determine whether a relation existed between the 2 factors. Cattle from the study population, a Holstein dairy herd consisting of approximately 400 milking cows, were tested for antibodies to BLV, using the agar gel immunodiffusion test, semiannually for 2 years, annually for 2 years, and when cattle were culled. Complete records of BLV test results were available for 849 (79%) of the 1,078 cattle that had at least 1 test during the study period. Using the Cox hazard model, the cull hazard rates (culls/cow-months) were greater for BLV seropositive cows than for seronegative cows > 36 months old. Hence, among older dairy cows, BLV-infected cows were culled prematurely, compared with uninfected cows.

摘要

对商业奶牛群中牛白血病病毒(BLV)感染情况及奶牛淘汰情况进行了评估,以确定这两个因素之间是否存在关联。研究群体为一个约有400头泌乳奶牛的荷斯坦奶牛群,使用琼脂凝胶免疫扩散试验,每半年检测一次牛群中牛白血病病毒抗体,持续2年,之后每年检测一次,持续2年,且在奶牛被淘汰时也进行检测。在研究期间至少接受过一次检测的1078头牛中,849头(79%)有完整的牛白血病病毒检测结果记录。使用Cox风险模型,36个月以上的BLV血清阳性奶牛的淘汰风险率(淘汰数/牛月数)高于血清阴性奶牛。因此,在年龄较大的奶牛中,与未感染的奶牛相比,感染BLV的奶牛被过早淘汰。

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