Smith P G, Pike M C
Biometrics. 1976 Dec;32(4):817-28.
Two statistical tests have been suggested to detect household aggregation of disease. Mathen and Chakraborty [1950] proposed counting the number of households, Z, in which there were no cases of the disease, and Walter [1974] proposed counting the number of pairs, N, of cases within households. As originally formulated, both of these methods suffer from the limitation that it is assumed, in the null case, that all members of the population, who are assumed to be susceptible, are at equal risk to disease. In this paper we generalise these tests to the situation in which different population strata are at different risks to disease. Formulae are given for the first four moments of Z. The revised Walter's test is shown to be a special case of a test of Pike and Smith [1974] which enables the expectation and variance of N to be directly evaluated. A similar relationship is noted between Walter's test and Knox's [1964] test for space-time clustering. A further test statistic is suggested: the number of cases, T, in households containing two or more cases.
已提出两种统计检验方法来检测疾病的家庭聚集性。马森和恰克拉波蒂[1950年]提议统计没有疾病病例的家庭数量Z,沃尔特[1974年]提议统计家庭内病例对的数量N。按照最初的表述,这两种方法都存在局限性,即在零假设情况下,假定人群中所有被认为易感染的成员感染疾病的风险相等。在本文中,我们将这些检验推广到不同人群分层感染疾病风险不同的情况。给出了Z的前四阶矩的公式。经修订的沃尔特检验被证明是派克和史密斯[1974年]检验的一个特例,该检验能直接计算N的期望和方差。沃尔特检验与诺克斯[1964年]的时空聚集性检验之间也存在类似关系。还提出了另一个检验统计量:包含两个或更多病例的家庭中的病例数T。