Becker S R, Diop F, Thornton J N
Department of Population Dynamics, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Int J Epidemiol. 1993;22 Suppl 1:S56-63. doi: 10.1093/ije/22.supplement_1.s56.
A baseline survey of childhood mortality in two counties of Liberia in 1984 found the risk of dying before age 5 to be almost one-third. Three years into the Combatting Childhood Communicable Diseases (CCCD) project, a survey using a pregnancy history questionnaire was conducted in the same clusters to determine if any change in mortality had occurred. Reinterviews were done in a subsample and pregnancies were matched from the two surveys to determine levels of missing events. After adjustment for omission, infant mortality was estimated at 180 per 1000, a 25% decline from the estimated 1984 level. Childhood mortality declined by an estimated 28%. Tabulations of death by reported cause using a verbal autopsy questionnaire showed that the risks of neonatal tetanus and fever associated deaths declined significantly. These reductions might have been a direct result of programme activities which were shown by a marked increase in tetanus toxoid immunization and access to antimalarial drugs in the study area.
1984年在利比里亚两个县进行的儿童死亡率基线调查发现,5岁前死亡的风险近三分之一。在抗击儿童传染病(CCCD)项目开展三年后,在相同的群组中使用妊娠史问卷进行了一项调查,以确定死亡率是否发生了任何变化。在一个子样本中进行了重新访谈,并将两次调查中的妊娠情况进行匹配,以确定缺失事件的水平。在对遗漏情况进行调整后,估计婴儿死亡率为每1000人中有180人,比1984年估计水平下降了25%。儿童死亡率估计下降了28%。使用死因口头尸检问卷按报告死因列出的死亡情况显示,新生儿破伤风和发热相关死亡的风险显著下降。这些下降可能是项目活动的直接结果,研究地区破伤风类毒素免疫接种和获得抗疟药物的显著增加表明了这一点。