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日本平均出生体重和平均妊娠期的季节性。

Seasonality of mean birth weight and mean gestational period in Japan.

作者信息

Matsuda S, Sone T, Doi T, Kahyo H

机构信息

Department of Human Ecology, School of Medicine, University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Kitakyushu, Japan.

出版信息

Hum Biol. 1993 Jun;65(3):481-501.

PMID:8319945
Abstract

Seasonal variations of mean birth weight from January 1974 to December 1983 and of mean gestational period from January 1979 to December 1983 in Japan are analyzed by time-series analysis. This analysis decomposes the variation in a series into trend, seasonal variation, other cyclic changes, and a remaining irregular fluctuation. The results of the present analysis support the existence of a seasonal rhythm of mean birth weight and mean gestational period in Japan with statistical significance (p < 0.001). Seasonal patterns of mean birth weight show two peaks in May and October-November and two troughs in June-September and December. Mean gestational periods shows two peaks in October and February-March and a deep trough in winter and a much smaller one in June-September. Two time series demonstrated a coincidence in monthly variations with statistical significance. These results indicate that a part of seasonality in birth weight could be explained by the seasonal variations in mean gestational period.

摘要

采用时间序列分析方法,分析了1974年1月至1983年12月日本平均出生体重的季节性变化以及1979年1月至1983年12月平均妊娠期的季节性变化。该分析将序列中的变化分解为趋势、季节性变化、其他周期性变化和剩余的不规则波动。本分析结果支持日本平均出生体重和平均妊娠期存在季节性节律,具有统计学意义(p < 0.001)。平均出生体重的季节性模式在5月和10月至11月出现两个峰值,在6月至9月和12月出现两个谷值。平均妊娠期在10月和2月至3月出现两个峰值,冬季出现一个深谷,6月至9月出现一个小得多的谷值。两个时间序列在月度变化上具有统计学意义的一致性。这些结果表明,出生体重季节性的一部分可以用平均妊娠期的季节性变化来解释。

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