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可变容积单池Kt/V的线性估计:误差分析

Linear estimates of variable-volume, single-pool Kt/V: an analysis of error.

作者信息

Daugirdas J T

机构信息

Department of Medicine and Research, Westside VA Medical Center, Chicago, IL 60680.

出版信息

Am J Kidney Dis. 1993 Aug;22(2):267-70. doi: 10.1016/s0272-6386(12)70317-7.

Abstract

Two linear approximations of variable-volume, single-pool Kt/V were compared. Each is based on the corrected postserum/preserum urea nitrogen ratio (R), called R', where R' = R - 0.03 - UF/W (UF/W being the ratio of the ultrafiltrate volume removed to the postdialysis weight). The two formulas were derived by construction of tangents to the exponential curve y = -In(R') at approximately 1.0 and 1.3, namely, y = 2 - 2.7(R') and y = 2.2 - 3.3(R'), respectively. The linear formulas were compared with each other and to our previous logarithmic formula -In(R - 0.008*t - UF/W). All were compared with the modeled Kt/V using a variable-volume, single-pool kinetic model in 500 dialysis sessions, with Kt/V ranging from 0.7 to 2.1. Analysis of error uncovered systematic errors in all the formulas. However, each of the new linear formulas had very little systematic error in the Kt/V range it was designed for, over a span of 0.6 - 0.7 Kt/V units. Outside this range the linear formulas underestimate the variable-volume, single-pool modeled Kt/V, but, barring two-pool or other technical errors, they do not markedly overestimate Kt/V in any Kt/V range. The total error with the new linear formulas was an acceptable 5%, in the range they were designed for. The results suggest that precise estimates of Kt/V can be derived using linear formulas as long as a given Kt/V range is targeted.

摘要

对可变容积单池Kt/V的两种线性近似方法进行了比较。每种方法都基于校正后的透析后/透析前尿素氮比率(R),称为R',其中R' = R - 0.03 - UF/W(UF/W为超滤去除体积与透析后体重的比率)。这两个公式是通过在指数曲线y = -In(R')上大约1.0和1.3处构建切线得出的,即分别为y = 2 - 2.7(R')和y = 2.2 - 3.3(R')。将这些线性公式相互比较,并与我们之前的对数公式-In(R - 0.008*t - UF/W)进行比较。在500次透析治疗中,使用可变容积单池动力学模型将所有公式与模拟的Kt/V进行比较,Kt/V范围为0.7至2.1。误差分析发现所有公式都存在系统误差。然而,每个新的线性公式在其设计的Kt/V范围内,即在0.6 - 0.7个Kt/V单位的跨度内,系统误差非常小。在此范围之外,线性公式会低估可变容积单池模拟的Kt/V,但除非存在双池或其他技术误差,它们在任何Kt/V范围内都不会明显高估Kt/V。在其设计的范围内,新线性公式的总误差为可接受的5%。结果表明,只要针对给定的Kt/V范围,使用线性公式就可以得出Kt/V的精确估计值。

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