Hsieh C C, Goldman M, Pavia M, Ekbom A, Petridou E, Adami H O, Trichopoulos D
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115.
Int J Cancer. 1993 Apr 22;54(1):81-4. doi: 10.1002/ijc.2910540114.
Data from an international case-control study of breast cancer that was conducted in the 1960s were used to examine whether multiple births affect the risk of breast cancer in the mother. Among 2821 parous breast-cancer patients, 88 had had one or more multiple births, whereas among 8882 controls 247 had had one or more multiple births; the logistic-regression-adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 1.21, the 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.94 to 1.55. The OR was significantly elevated during the 15-year period following the latest multiple birth (1.76; CI, 1.12 to 2.75), but declined toward the null afterwards. A late first pregnancy imparted a substantially higher breast-cancer risk when it was multiple rather than singleton; the OR was 2.34 for a multiple and 1.48 for a singleton first pregnancy when the cutoff point was 30 years, and 4.58 and 1.57, respectively, when the cutoff point was 35 years. Since multiple pregnancies are characterized by higher levels of pregnancy estrogens, the results of this study would be compatible with the hypothesis that these hormones may be responsible for the transient increase in breast-cancer risk following a term pregnancy and, in particular, a multiple term pregnancy. The long-term reduction of breast-cancer risk is probably due to a different mechanism, most likely the terminal differentiation of susceptible mammary-gland cells.
20世纪60年代开展的一项乳腺癌国际病例对照研究的数据被用于检验多胎生育是否会影响母亲患乳腺癌的风险。在2821名经产妇乳腺癌患者中,88人有过一次或多次多胎生育,而在8882名对照者中,247人有过一次或多次多胎生育;经逻辑回归调整后的优势比(OR)为1.21,95%置信区间(CI)为0.94至1.55。在最近一次多胎生育后的15年期间,OR显著升高(1.76;CI,1.12至2.75),但之后降至无效值。首次妊娠较晚时,如果是多胎妊娠而非单胎妊娠,患乳腺癌的风险会大幅升高;当截止年龄为30岁时,多胎首次妊娠的OR为2.34,单胎首次妊娠的OR为1.48;当截止年龄为35岁时,相应的OR分别为4.58和1.57。由于多胎妊娠的特点是孕期雌激素水平较高,本研究结果与以下假设相符,即这些激素可能是足月妊娠尤其是多胎足月妊娠后乳腺癌风险短暂增加的原因。乳腺癌风险的长期降低可能是由于一种不同的机制,很可能是易感乳腺细胞的终末分化。