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1907年至1990年澳大利亚的自杀与失业情况

Suicide and unemployment in Australia 1907-1990.

作者信息

Morrell S, Taylor R, Quine S, Kerr C

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Sydney, N.S.W., Australia.

出版信息

Soc Sci Med. 1993 Mar;36(6):749-56. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(93)90035-3.

Abstract

Ever since Durkheim postulated a relationship between economic change and suicide there has been evidence of a general association between aggregate data on unemployment and the frequency of suicide. Quantitatively, however, the association has been variable and it is clear that due to differing cultural, social and individual determinants of suicide, the relationship is complex. Methodological difficulties abound with interpretation of aggregate data. Australian records for most of the present century are suitable for examining secular trends in suicide and unemployment by age group and gender to gain an indication of the extent to which both parameters may be causally related. An aggregate/ecological study was designed to incorporate quantitative and qualitative strategies. Annual age-adjusted male and female suicide rates and annual unemployment rates were derived for the period 1907-1990. Female suicide rates were generally stable throughout the period, whereas those for males demonstrated sharp fluctuations with the peaks coinciding with times of high unemployment. The association between suicide and unemployment for 15-24 year old males was comparatively high for the recent period, 1966-1990. The increasingly youthful contribution to male suicide was demonstrated by a rise in the loss of life years during 1973-1984. Despite the inability of any investigation based on aggregate data to establish an unequivocable causal relationship, no evidence was detected to suggest that relatively high population levels of unemployment were not related to the occurrence of suicide.

摘要

自从涂尔干假定经济变化与自杀之间存在关联以来,就有证据表明失业总量数据与自杀频率之间存在普遍联系。然而,从数量上看,这种联系并不稳定,而且很明显,由于自杀的文化、社会和个人决定因素各不相同,这种关系很复杂。对总量数据进行解释存在诸多方法上的困难。本世纪大部分时间的澳大利亚记录适合按年龄组和性别来研究自杀和失业的长期趋势,以了解这两个参数在多大程度上可能存在因果关系。一项总量/生态研究旨在结合定量和定性策略。得出了1907年至1990年期间按年龄调整的年度男性和女性自杀率以及年度失业率。在此期间,女性自杀率总体上较为稳定,而男性自杀率则出现急剧波动,峰值与高失业率时期重合。在最近时期(1966年至1990年),15至24岁男性的自杀与失业之间的关联相对较高。1973年至1984年期间生命年损失的增加表明,男性自杀中年轻人所占比例越来越大。尽管基于总量数据的任何调查都无法确定明确的因果关系,但没有发现证据表明相对较高的人口失业率与自杀事件无关。

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