Blackstone E H, Kirklin J W, Pluth J R, Turner M E, Parr G V
Ann Thorac Surg. 1977 Apr;23(4):302-18. doi: 10.1016/s0003-4975(10)64130-6.
Four hundred seventy-five patients underwent aortic valve replacement with the Braunwald-Cutter ball-valve prosthesis at two institutions. The early (30-day) hospital mortality was 4.7% for those with isolated aortic valve replacement and 6.9% for the entire group. For the former, 5-year actuarial survival of the hospital survivors was 72 +/- 5.7%; for the latter group it was 71 +/- 4.4%. Eleven patients (5 since the date of follow-up inquiry) have suffered poppet escape, 9 of whom died. The actuarial incidence of known poppet escape is 4 +/- 2.6% at 47 months; when the 5 patients suffering poppet escape since the date of follow-up inquiry are included, with certain assumptions, the incidence is 3.7 +/- 1.14%. The projected probability of poppet escape using all 11 patients is 12.2% at 5 years; the 70% confidence bands of projected probability of poppet escape separate from those of the risk of re-replacement at 61 months. This and other analyses indicate that in general, patients with the Braunwald-Cutter aortic prosthesis should have it replaced 4 1/2 to 5 years after its insertion.
475例患者在两家机构接受了使用布劳恩瓦尔德-卡特球瓣假体进行的主动脉瓣置换术。单纯主动脉瓣置换患者的早期(30天)医院死亡率为4.7%,整个组的早期医院死亡率为6.9%。对于前者,医院幸存者的5年精算生存率为72±5.7%;对于后者,5年精算生存率为71±4.4%。11例患者(自随访询问之日起5例)发生了球瓣脱出,其中9例死亡。已知球瓣脱出的精算发生率在47个月时为4±2.6%;若将自随访询问之日起发生球瓣脱出的5例患者包括在内,并作某些假设,发生率为3.7±1.14%。使用全部11例患者计算出的球瓣脱出预计概率在5年时为12.2%;球瓣脱出预计概率的70%置信区间在61个月时与再次置换风险的置信区间分开。这一分析及其他分析表明,总体而言,植入布劳恩瓦尔德-卡特主动脉假体的患者应在植入后4年半至5年进行置换。