Lappalainen M, Sintonen H, Koskiniemi M, Hedman K, Hiilesmaa V, Ammälä P, Teramo K, Koskela P
Haartman Institute, Department of Virology, University of Helsinki, Finland.
Scand J Infect Dis. 1995;27(3):265-72. doi: 10.3109/00365549509019020.
Congenital toxoplasmosis is a risk for fetus both in 'low' and 'high risk' areas. A cost-benefit analysis based on data from a Finnish prospective study (20.3% seropositivity of pregnant mothers and incidence of 2.4/1,000 seronegative pregnancies) and on Finnish cost data was performed to compare the no-screening and screening alternatives for primary toxoplasma infections during pregnancy. A maternal-feto transmission risk of 40%, effectiveness of treatment of 50%, and discount rate of 4% were used as other baseline probabilities. The calculations were carried out by decision analysis combined with sensitivity analysis. The total annual costs of congenital toxoplasmosis without screening amount to US$ 128/pregnancy/year, and with systematic serological screening, US$ 95/pregnancy. Thus screening reduces the costs by 25%. The present value of net savings in Finland would be US$ 2.1 million every year. A one-way sensitivity analysis showed that screening together with health education is preferable to health education without screening if the incidence of maternal primary infections exceeds 1.1/1,000 and effectiveness of treatment is better than 22.1%. Screening for toxoplasma infections during pregnancy is economically worthwhile even in a country with a low incidence. A scheme of systematic screening for maternal primary toxoplasma infections combined with health education should be considered.
先天性弓形虫病在“低风险”和“高风险”地区对胎儿均构成风险。基于芬兰一项前瞻性研究的数据(孕妇血清阳性率为20.3%,血清阴性妊娠的发病率为2.4/1000)以及芬兰的成本数据进行了成本效益分析,以比较孕期原发性弓形虫感染的不筛查和筛查方案。母婴传播风险为40%、治疗有效性为50%以及贴现率为4%被用作其他基线概率。通过决策分析结合敏感性分析进行计算。不进行筛查时,先天性弓形虫病的年总成本为每次妊娠每年128美元,而进行系统血清学筛查时为每次妊娠95美元。因此,筛查可使成本降低25%。芬兰每年净节省的现值将为210万美元。单向敏感性分析表明,如果孕妇原发性感染的发病率超过1.1/1000且治疗有效性优于22.1%,那么筛查结合健康教育比不进行筛查的健康教育更可取。即使在发病率较低的国家,孕期筛查弓形虫感染在经济上也是值得的。应考虑制定一项对孕妇原发性弓形虫感染进行系统筛查并结合健康教育的方案。