预测《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》第五版。
Predicting the DSM-V.
作者信息
Blashfield R K, Fuller A K
机构信息
Department of Psychiatry, University of Florida, Gainesville 32610, USA.
出版信息
J Nerv Ment Dis. 1996 Jan;184(1):4-7. doi: 10.1097/00005053-199601000-00002.
Using regression estimates based upon data about past editions of the DSM, we predict various features of the DSM-V. Included in these predictions are the date of publication, number of pages, total number of categories, number of categories defined using diagnostic criteria, total number of diagnostic criteria, color of the manual, who will be in charge of the task force that creates the DSM-V, and revenues generated by the DSM-V. This article ends with comments on the changes in the editions of the DSMs and an analogy to the Sorcerer's Apprentice.
利用基于《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》过往版本数据的回归估计，我们预测了《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》第五版的各种特征。这些预测包括出版日期、页数、类别总数、使用诊断标准定义的类别数量、诊断标准总数、手册颜色、负责创建《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》第五版的工作组人员，以及《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》第五版产生的收入。本文最后对《精神疾病诊断与统计手册》各版本的变化进行了评论，并与《魔法师的学徒》作了类比。
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