Schwartz E, Corvalán C
Office of Global and Integrated Environmental Health, World Health Organization, Geneva.
World Health Stat Q. 1995;48(2):164-70.
Despite our current knowledge about harmful exposures obtained from environmental epidemiology studies, preventive action is lacking in many fronts. To reverse this trend, results from environmental epidemiological studies must be translated from theory into public health practice more efficiently. This process requires epidemiology to provide the right type of data for decision-making and to communicate the results of environmental epidemiology studies in a form understandable to the community at large and to those empowered to take action. Tools for decision-making based on epidemiological data need to be developed further, and the epidemiologist has a role to play in the process of addressing the solutions to the problems they study. Similarly, while those with decision-making responsibilities are not expected to be directly involved with technical aspects of conducting epidemiological studies, it is necessary that they learn new ways of thinking and of evaluating information on health. They have a responsibility to understand the implications of the uncertainties in the information and the value this information has for decision-making. Decision-making involves choosing among alternative ways of meeting objectives. Often, however, there may be a number of objectives that may be in competition or conflict. Not infrequently, this combination of uncertainty and conflict produces diverse conclusions about the "best alternative" when viewed by different observers. A decision-maker must choose between competing alternatives, and may face uncertainties and difficulties at every step. These difficulties, however, should not serve as excuses for lack of action. While it is true that increasing evidence about a potential environmental health problem would aid the decision-making process, lack of action while waiting for more evidence may also carry significant adverse consequences.
尽管我们目前从环境流行病学研究中获得了关于有害暴露的知识,但在许多方面仍缺乏预防行动。为了扭转这一趋势,环境流行病学研究的结果必须更有效地从理论转化为公共卫生实践。这一过程要求流行病学提供正确类型的数据以供决策,并以广大社区以及有权采取行动的人能够理解的形式传达环境流行病学研究的结果。基于流行病学数据的决策工具需要进一步开发,流行病学家在解决他们所研究问题的解决方案的过程中可以发挥作用。同样,虽然承担决策责任的人不期望直接参与开展流行病学研究的技术方面,但他们有必要学习新的思维方式和评估健康信息的方式。他们有责任理解信息中不确定性的影响以及这些信息对决策的价值。决策涉及在实现目标的不同方式之间进行选择。然而,通常可能存在许多相互竞争或冲突的目标。不少情况下,当不同的观察者审视时,这种不确定性和冲突的结合会就“最佳选择”产生不同的结论。决策者必须在相互竞争的选择之间做出抉择,并且可能在每一步都面临不确定性和困难。然而,这些困难不应成为不采取行动的借口。虽然越来越多关于潜在环境健康问题的证据确实会有助于决策过程,但在等待更多证据时不采取行动也可能带来重大的不良后果。