Gamel J W, Meyer J S, Province M A
Veterans Administration Medical Center, Louisville, Kentucky, USA.
Cancer. 1995 Sep 15;76(6):1009-18. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(19950915)76:6<1009::aid-cncr2820760615>3.0.co;2-8.
Standard, nonparametric statistical methods measure the interaction of covariates with survival rate or relative risk. Conversely, parametric methods measure the interaction of covariates with the two cardinal features of malignant potential: the likelihood of cure and the median time to relapse among uncured patients.
The authors performed parametric analysis on data from 810 patients with breast cancer using relapse as the survival end point. Prognostic covariates included lymph node status, tumor size, patient age, nuclear size, S-phase by thymidine or bromodeoxy-uridine labeling, and type of adjuvant therapy (chemotherapy, radiation, or hormone therapy). Also included was the cross-product term (labeling index X chemotherapy).
Multivariate analysis revealed that: likelihood of cure was associated positively with labeling index X chemotherapy and associated negatively with lymph node status, tumor size, and patient age; and time to relapse was associated negatively with node status, nuclear size, and labeling index.
The associations of labeling index and chemotherapy with the clinical course suggest that rapidly dividing tumors have a high likelihood of cure, especially with adjuvant chemotherapy, but those not cured may have early relapse.
标准的非参数统计方法测量协变量与生存率或相对风险之间的相互作用。相反,参数方法测量协变量与恶性潜能的两个主要特征之间的相互作用:治愈的可能性以及未治愈患者的中位复发时间。
作者以复发作为生存终点,对810例乳腺癌患者的数据进行了参数分析。预后协变量包括淋巴结状态、肿瘤大小、患者年龄、核大小、通过胸腺嘧啶核苷或溴脱氧尿苷标记的S期以及辅助治疗类型(化疗、放疗或激素治疗)。还包括交叉乘积项(标记指数×化疗)。
多变量分析显示:治愈的可能性与标记指数×化疗呈正相关,与淋巴结状态、肿瘤大小和患者年龄呈负相关;复发时间与淋巴结状态、核大小和标记指数呈负相关。
标记指数和化疗与临床病程之间的关联表明,快速分裂的肿瘤治愈的可能性很高,尤其是采用辅助化疗时,但未治愈的肿瘤可能会早期复发。