Le Roux P D, Elliott J P, Newell D W, Grady M S, Winn H R
Department of Neurosurgery, University of Washington, Seattle, USA.
J Neurosurg. 1996 Jul;85(1):39-49. doi: 10.3171/jns.1996.85.1.0039.
To determine what factors predict outcome, the authors retrospectively reviewed the management of all 159 poor-grade patients admitted to Harborview Medical Center at the University of Washington who suffered aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage between 1983 and 1993. Favorable outcome (assessed by the Glasgow Outcome Scale) occurred in 53.9% of Hunt and Hess Grade IV, and 24.1% of Grade V patients. Outcome was largely determined by the initial hemorrhage and subsequent development of intractable intracranial hypertension or cerebral infraction. Using multivariate analysis, the authors developed three models to predict outcome. It was found that predicting outcome based only on clinical and diagnostic criteria present at admission may have resulted in withholding treatment from 30% of the patients who subsequently experienced favorable outcomes. It is concluded that aggressive management including surgical aneurysm obliteration can benefit patients with poor neurological grades and should not be denied solely on the basis of the neurological condition on admission.
为了确定哪些因素可预测预后,作者回顾性分析了1983年至1993年间华盛顿大学哈博维尤医疗中心收治的159例动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血的低级别患者的治疗情况。Hunt和Hess分级IV级患者中53.9%、V级患者中24.1%获得了良好预后(根据格拉斯哥预后量表评估)。预后很大程度上取决于初始出血以及随后难治性颅内高压或脑梗死的发生情况。通过多变量分析,作者建立了三个模型来预测预后。结果发现,仅根据入院时的临床和诊断标准预测预后,可能会导致30%随后获得良好预后的患者得不到治疗。结论是,积极的治疗,包括手术夹闭动脉瘤,可使神经功能分级低的患者受益,不应仅根据入院时的神经状况而拒绝治疗。