Borrell A, Costa D, Martinez J M, Delgado R D, Casals E, Ojuel J, Fortuny A
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Hospital Clinic, University of Barcelona Medical School, Spain.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 1996 Jul;175(1):45-9. doi: 10.1016/s0002-9378(96)70249-1.
Our purpose was to assess the validity of nuchal thickness in the prediction of Down syndrome in early midtrimester fetuses.
In 1543 consecutive pregnancies undergoing amniocentesis, primarily for advanced maternal age, nuchal thickness was prospectively measured between 13 and 18 weeks and then correlated with the karyotype obtained from amniotic fluid.
With the cutoff value suggested in the literature (> or = 6 mm), 33.3% (6/18) of the cases of Down syndrome would be detected for a 0.1% (2/1424) false-positive rate, with a positive predictive value adjusted to a prevalence of Down syndrome in the general population of 1:3. To increase the sensitivity of the method, the threshold was lowered to 5 mm, achieving a sensitivity of 77.8% (14/18) for a 2.1% (30/1424) false-positive rate and an adjusted positive value of 1:19.
In early midtrimester fetuses decreasing the nuchal thickness threshold to 5 mm substantially enhances the detection of Down syndrome with a reasonable false-positive rate.
我们的目的是评估孕中期早期胎儿颈部厚度在预测唐氏综合征方面的有效性。
在1543例连续接受羊膜穿刺术的孕妇中,主要是因为孕妇年龄较大,前瞻性地测量了孕13至18周之间的颈部厚度,然后将其与从羊水获得的核型进行关联。
采用文献中建议的临界值(≥6mm),对于0.1%(2/1424)的假阳性率,可检测出33.3%(6/18)的唐氏综合征病例,将阳性预测值调整为一般人群中唐氏综合征患病率为1:3。为提高该方法的敏感性,将阈值降低至5mm,对于2.1%(30/1424)的假阳性率,敏感性达到77.8%(14/18),调整后的阳性值为1:19。
在孕中期早期胎儿中,将颈部厚度阈值降低至5mm可在合理的假阳性率下显著提高唐氏综合征的检测率。