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关于英国夏令时对柴郡道路交通事故伤亡影响的调查。

An investigation into the effects of British Summer Time on road traffic accident casualties in Cheshire.

作者信息

Whittaker J D

机构信息

Accident and Emergency Department, Countess of Chester Hospital.

出版信息

J Accid Emerg Med. 1996 May;13(3):189-92. doi: 10.1136/emj.13.3.189.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of British Summer Time (BST) on road traffic accident casualties and to analyse whether the introduction of year round BST would result in reductions in casualty numbers.

DESIGN

A comparative study of road traffic accident data from before and after the onset of BST.

SETTING

The county of Cheshire.

SUBJECT

Data from a total of 4185 casualties from the period 1983 to 1993.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The effect of BST on both vehicle, cycle, and pedestrian casualties and casualties among schoolchildren.

RESULTS

The onset of BST in spring was associated with reductions in casualty numbers of 6% in the morning and 11% in the evening. The anticipated rise in casualties with the darker mornings was not seen and as reductions were maximal in the pedestrian (36%), cyclist (11%), and schoolchild (24%) subgroups they were presumed to be due to an altered reliance on vehicular transport. The change back to Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) in autumn produced an anticipated reduction (6%) in casualties in the lighter mornings. The darker evenings, as predicted, were associated with significant increases in casualties (4%), mainly vehicle (5%) and pedestrian (8%) casualties. There was an overall net reduction in casualty numbers when the analysed periods of BST were compared to those during GMT.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of BST in Cheshire over the period studied was associated with reductions in casualty figures. The application of these results nationally may be expected to produce more and less pronounced changes the further north or south, respectively, the area studied. The introduction of year-long BST would result in beneficial effects on road traffic accident casualties.

摘要

目的

评估英国夏令时(BST)对道路交通事故伤亡情况的影响,并分析全年采用夏令时是否会导致伤亡人数减少。

设计

对夏令时开始前后的道路交通事故数据进行比较研究。

地点

柴郡。

研究对象

1983年至1993年期间共4185名伤亡者的数据。

主要观察指标

夏令时对车辆、自行车和行人伤亡以及学童伤亡的影响。

结果

春季夏令时开始与上午伤亡人数减少6%、晚上减少11%相关。未观察到因早晨光线较暗而预期的伤亡人数增加,由于行人(36%)、骑自行车者(11%)和学童(24%)亚组的减少幅度最大,推测这是由于对车辆运输的依赖改变所致。秋季恢复为格林威治标准时间(GMT)后,早晨光线较亮时伤亡人数出现预期减少(6%)。正如预测的那样,晚上光线较暗与伤亡人数显著增加(4%)相关,主要是车辆(5%)和行人(8%)伤亡。与GMT期间相比,分析的夏令时期间伤亡人数总体净减少。

结论

在所研究的时期内,柴郡使用夏令时与伤亡人数减少相关。预计在全国应用这些结果时,研究区域越往北或越往南,变化分别会越明显或越不明显。全年采用夏令时将对道路交通事故伤亡产生有益影响。

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