Long S H, Marquis M S
RAND, Washington DC 20037, USA.
Inquiry. 1996 Spring;33(1):85-91.
This paper cautions state policy analysts who estimate expected costs of state health reforms using state-specific data from general purpose, national surveys. It compares cost estimates of subsidized insurance programs for low-income uninsured persons in 10 states using the Current Population Survey (CPS) and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation state surveys. Depending on the measure of insurance and concept of the family that are used, costs of state programs could exceed the estimates by more than 50%. State policy analysts need to be aware of such pitfalls and make appropriate adjustments when using CPS data to estimate program costs.
本文警示了那些使用通用全国性调查中的州特定数据来估算州医疗改革预期成本的州政策分析师。它比较了利用当前人口调查（CPS）和罗伯特·伍德·约翰逊基金会州调查对10个州低收入未参保者的补贴保险计划成本进行的估算。根据所采用的保险衡量标准和家庭概念，州计划的成本可能会比估算值高出50%以上。州政策分析师在使用CPS数据估算计划成本时需要意识到此类陷阱并做出适当调整。
