Douzdjian V, Rice J C, Carson R W, Gugliuzza K G, Fish J C
Department of Surgery, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, USA.
Clin Transplant. 1996 Jun;10(3):271-7.
Although donor and recipient risk factors for renal allograft failure are well known after kidney transplantation, they are less well defined after simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplantation. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of donor and recipient risk factors on the outcome of the renal allograft in simultaneous pancreas-kidney recipients. Simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplant performed between 4/88 and 6/94 were reviewed (n = 61) and univariate (Kaplan-Meier) and multivariate (Cox regression) analyses of factors which affect kidney graft survival were performed. Twelve donor and eleven pre- and post-transplant recipient risk factors were evaluated. Overall kidney allograft survival rates at 1, 2 and 5 yr were 81%, 76% and 66%. Donor age > and = 40 yr (RR = 2.3), donor female gender (RR = 3.5), donor admission to pronouncement of brain death > and = 48 h (RR = 3), the occurrence of surgical complications (RR = 2.1), and serum > and = 2 mg/dl on post-transplant day (RR = 1.9) were independently associated with an increased hazard of graft failure. With the exception of length of donor admission, all of these factors were also shown to predict the risk of renal graft failure by univariate analysis. In conclusion, we have identified donor and recipient risk factors which independently predict the risk of renal graft failure after simultaneous pancreas-kidney transplantation. Whether the differences between our center-specific risk factors and those obtained from renal transplant registry data are true differences or simply reflect sampling error is unclear.
尽管肾移植后肾移植失败的供体和受体风险因素已为人熟知,但在胰肾联合移植后这些因素的界定尚不明确。本研究的目的是评估供体和受体风险因素对胰肾联合移植受体中肾移植结局的影响。回顾了1988年4月至1994年6月期间进行的胰肾联合移植(n = 61),并对影响肾移植存活的因素进行了单因素(Kaplan-Meier)和多因素(Cox回归)分析。评估了12个供体以及11个移植前和移植后的受体风险因素。肾移植1年、2年和5年的总体存活率分别为81%、76%和66%。供体年龄≥40岁(相对风险=2.3)、供体为女性(相对风险=3.5)、供体从入院到宣布脑死亡的时间≥48小时(相对风险=3)、发生手术并发症(相对风险=2.1)以及移植后血清肌酐≥2mg/dl(相对风险=1.9)与移植失败风险增加独立相关。除供体入院时间外,所有这些因素在单因素分析中也显示可预测肾移植失败风险。总之,我们确定了供体和受体风险因素,这些因素可独立预测胰肾联合移植后肾移植失败的风险。我们中心特定的风险因素与肾移植登记数据中获得的风险因素之间的差异是真实差异还是仅仅反映抽样误差尚不清楚。