van den Hoek J A, van Griensven G J, Keet I P, Coutinho R A
GG&GD, sector Volksgezondheid en Milieu, Amsterdam.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd. 1996 Aug 17;140(33):1692-5.
Since 1984/1985 a cohort of homosexual men (HM; n = 770 initially HIV-seronegative) and one of injecting drug abusers (IDU; n = 675 initially seronegative) are being followed in Amsterdam, in order to assess the HIV epidemic in these high-risk groups. The HIV incidence in HM fell from 7.2/100 person years in 1985 to 1.0 in 1989, due to safer sexual behaviour. In 1990 there was a temporary rise in HIV incidence coinciding with an increase in gonorrhoea and syphilis in homosexual/bisexual men (not in the cohorts) attending a sexually transmitted diseases outpatient clinic. The rise was due to a relapse in unsafe sexual behaviour. After 1990 the HIV incidence dropped again and it remained at 1/100 person years in 1995. In IDU, in whom a reduction was found in both injecting and sexual risk behaviour, the incidence fell from 8.9 in 1986 to 2.0-3.6/100 person years in 1991-1995. In order to follow the future course of the HIV epidemic, it is argued to open the cohorts particularly for young HM and IDU.
自1984/1985年起,阿姆斯特丹对一组同性恋男性(HM;最初770人HIV血清学阴性)和一组注射吸毒者(IDU;最初675人血清学阴性)进行随访,以评估这些高危人群中的HIV流行情况。由于性行为更安全,HM的HIV发病率从1985年的7.2/100人年降至1989年的1.0。1990年,HIV发病率暂时上升,与此同时,一家性传播疾病门诊的同性恋/双性恋男性(非队列人群)淋病和梅毒发病率增加。此次上升是由于不安全性行为的复发。1990年后,HIV发病率再次下降,1995年维持在1/100人年。在IDU中,注射和性风险行为均有所减少,发病率从1986年的8.9降至1991 - 1995年的2.0 - 3.6/100人年。为跟踪HIV流行的未来趋势,有人主张特别对年轻的HM和IDU开放这些队列。